By Ryan Frederick, WrestlingObserver.com
The UFC heads to the Philippines for the first time on Saturday for “Breakfast With The UFC” for the North American audience as UFC Fight Night 66 rolls into the Mall Of Asia Arena in Manila. The card will air live on FOX Sports 1, with a main card start time of 10 AM eastern, a preliminary card start time of 8 AM eastern for the FOX Sports 1 portion, and the UFC Fight Pass preliminary card portion airs at 7 AM eastern.
A big fight will be headlining the UFC’s debut in Manila, a fight that is being dubbed a superfight as former champions Frankie Edgar and Urijah Faber square off in the five-round main event. The UFC is bringing some quality names for their Manila debut, as former Strikeforce champion Gegard Mousasi fights Costas Philippou in the semi-main event, Mark Munoz ends his career against Luke Barnatt, and Neil Magny looks to extend his win streak against Hyun Gyu Lim. Let’s take a look at five storylines heading into the event as we look towards UFC Fight Night 66.
1. Who wins the superfight between Frankie Edgar and Urijah Faber?
People are dubbing this a superfight. It’s hard to say if it truly is as neither are the champions of their respective divisions, but both are former long-time champions. Edgar held the UFC Lightweight Championship from April 2010 until February 2012, while Faber held the WEC Featherweight Championship from March 2006 until November 2008. Both have fought for the titles numerous times in the UFC, and in different weight classes over their careers. Faber has been recently fighting at 135 pounds, but he will move back up to 145 pounds for this fight, and it has the makings of being a potential fight of the year candidate.
Edgar has had more success in main event bouts in the UFC. Edgar is 4-3-1 in main event fights in the UFC, while Faber is just 1-3 when he has been in the headline position in the Octagon. Faber remains a perfect 19-0 in non-title bouts in his career, and all seven of his career losses have come in title fights. Edgar has only lost four times in his career, and three of those came in title fights. Quite frankly put, these fighters have tons of success when not fighting for the title, but both have come up short in recent attempts to get a grasp of championship gold again. This fight does have title implications for both.
A win for Edgar would give him four straight wins and line him up for a shot at the winner between Jose Aldo and Conor McGregor in July. A Faber win would be his third straight, and could set him up for a challenge at 135 pounds, or even at 145 pounds should he choose to stay at featherweight. He is in a dilemma, as his teammate T.J. Dillashaw currently holds the UFC Bantamweight Championship, and another teammate, Chad Mendes, is a top-three contender at 145 pounds, and right behind Edgar in the line of guys who would be next title challengers at 145 pounds.
As far as who wins this, it is a tough call to make. Edgar is the overwhelming favorite on the betting odds, and you would have to assume he has the best chance of winning. He is a little quicker than Faber on the feet, and his boxing is better. Faber is probably a slightly better wrestler of the two, and his submission game is better. The betting odds should probably be closer in this fight. I do like Edgar to win the fight, but it really is a tough fight to predict what will happen. I do sense it going the full 25 minutes, and I think it will be one hell of a fight.
2. Can Gegard Mousasi finally win back-to-back fights in the Octagon?
Gegard Mousasi is only 29-years-old and has fought 43 times in his professional career. He has fought all over the world for numerous organizations, including PRIDE, DREAM, Strikeforce, and now will be making his sixth appearance inside the UFC Octagon. He has 36 wins to his credit, including 31 stoppage wins, and he has won titles in numerous organizations. He is a black belt in judo, has great kickboxing skills, has amateur boxing experience, a good submission game, and has wins over excellent competition in his career. What is one thing he has never done?
He has never won two straight fights in the UFC. Although he only has five UFC fights on his record, he has alternaned wins-and-losses in them. He started with a win over Ilir Latifi, then lost to Lyoto Machida. He bounced back with a win over Mark Munoz, but then dropped his next fight to Ronaldo Souza. He won his last fight against Dan Henderson. He has faced excellent competition in his UFC career sans Latifi (who replaced Alexander Gustafsson just days before he was supposed to face Mousasi).
Mousasi fights Costas Philippou in the semi-main event on Saturday as he searches for the elusive back-to-back victories in the UFC. Philippou is also looking to score back-to-back wins after knocking out Lorenz Larkin in his last bout. However, he has been out of action for over a year due to injuries, and he hasn’t had a lot of recent success as he has dropped two of his last three fights. Mousasi has the better skill set than Philippou, and he is very elusive when it comes to getting hit. Philippou’s best chance is to land a big punch, and that will be very hard to do against Mousasi.
3. How will the career of Mark Munoz end?
Mark Munoz will make his final appearance in the Octagon on Saturday when he takes on Luke Barnatt. He has announced that he will retire following the fight regardless of whether he wins or loses. He would love to go out with a win as he has lost three straight fights and four of his last five overall. He was on the cusp of a title shot before being knocked out by Chris Weidman, and after he missed a year of action following that loss, he never came back to looking like the same contender he was before.
He has closed the doors on his gym, the Reign Training Center, which housed a lot of top fighters. He is going to focus on being a parent with four kids, and being a coach for the fighters that trained at his gym. He is of Filipino heritage, and fighting in the Philippines has been a dream for him. It looked like it wasn’t going to happen after Munoz was choked unconscious in his last fight, but Barnatt was able to step in after his previously scheduled bout against Clint Hester was scrapped.
Barnatt is looking to break a two-fight losing skid when he takes on Munoz. He was undefeated to start his career with eight wins in his first eight career bouts. He has since dropped split decisions to Sean Strickland and Roger Narvaez, and he hasn’t looked like the same fighter in those two bouts. He would love to bounce back, but he has to know that Munoz is coming in looking to cap off his career with an impressive showing. Barnatt is the slight betting favorite and he will look to test that chin of Munoz in trying to find the knockout.
4. Neil Magny has won 6 straight fights. Does he get his 7th, and where does he go from here?
Neil Magny has won six straight fights as he heads into his second fight of 2015 against Hyun Gyu Lim on Saturday. He has done it somewhat quietly at times, but his name has been getting more attention lately. He was on the brink of being cut from the UFC roster at one point after losing two straight fights following a win in his UFC debut. 2014 came along and we saw a new Magny inside the Octagon.
He has put everything together in making his six-fight win streak run. He won all five of his fights in 2014, tying the record for most UFC wins in a calendar year. His six-fight win streak has seen him win three fights in going the distance, two fights by knockout and one fight by submission. The only knock you could make on his current win streak is that due to him wanting to be as active as possible, he hasn’t fought top-15 competition yet. His biggest win during his streak has to be over Tim Means, who was just coming back to the UFC when they fought, but Means has since won four straight fights himself.
Magny has a tough opponent in Lim on Saturday. Lim is a hard fighter to finish and has some knockout power himself. Lim has only fought once while Magny has been putting together his win streak, but it was a 78-second knockout win over Takenori Sato in September. Lim has won eight of his last nine fights, and his only loss came to former Strikeforce champion Tarec Saffiedine in an entertaining five-round main event bout he took on short notice. Magny has his toughest test to date, and if he is able to make it seven straight wins, you have to think that he will be getting a top-15 ranked opponent in his next fight, perhaps against someone like Demian Maia or the winner of the upcoming fight between Carlos Condit and Thiago Alves. He would definitely deserve it.
5. Who is a fighter to watch, and a fight to not overlook on the rest of the card?
With this fight card being in the Philippines, there are a lot of Asian fighters on the card, and some with Filipino hertiage as well. Phillipe Nover will be making his return to the UFC on the main card. He was a finalist on season eight of The Ultimate Fighter, and he was hyped during the show as being the next big star to come into the UFC. He was out of the UFC quickly, losing to Efrain Escudero in the TUF 8 finals, and then two more to Kyle Bradley and Rob Emerson, leading to his release. He has gone 5-2 since then and campaigned to get on the card, and he returns with a tough fight looking to break his winless 0-3 mark in the Octagon.
Royston Wee is another fighter to keep an eye on. He has just four career fights, and only had two when he was selected as an alternate for TUF: China. He was signed to a UFC contract despite not being on the show, and he has won both of his fights inside the Octagon by decision. He is improving on his skills, and he gets a tougher foe in his fight on Saturday in Ning Guangyou, who won TUF: China as a featherweight. He will be dropping to bantamweight on Saturday in search of a win in his first post-TUF fight. While this fight is buried on the preliminary card, it is one to keep an eye on as the UFC searches for an Asian star.
Full UFC Fight Night 66 Fight Card, Betting Odds & Predictions
MAIN CARD (FOX SPORTS 1- 10 AM ET/7 AM PT)
Featherweights: Frankie Edgar vs. Urijah Faber
Betting Odds: Edgar (-400), Faber (+325)
Prediction: Edgar by decision
Middleweights: Gegard Mousasi vs. Costas Philippou
Betting Odds: Mousasi (-550), Philippou (+425)
Prediction: Mousasi by knockout in round 2
Middleweights: Mark Munoz vs. Luke Barnatt
Betting Odds: Munoz (+140), Barnatt (-160)
Prediction: Barnatt by knockout in round 2
Welterweights: Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Neil Magny
Betting Odds: Lim (+100), Magny (-120)
Prediction: Magny by decision
Featherweights: Phillipe Nover vs. Yui Chul Nam
Betting Odds: Nover (+155), Nam (-175)
Prediction: Nover by decision
Featherweights: Mark Eddiva vs. Levan Makashvili
Betting Odds: Eddiva (+310), Makashvili (-400)
Prediction: Eddiva by decision
PRELIMINARY CARD (FOX SPORTS 1- 8 AM ET/5 AM PT)
Lightweights: Tae Hyun Bang vs. Jon Tuck
Betting Odds: Bang (+135), Tuck (-155)
Prediction: Tuck by decision
Lightweights: Zhang Lipeng vs. Kajan Johnson
Betting Odds: Lipeng (+115), Johnson (-135)
Prediction: Lipeng by decision
Welterweights: Li Jingliang vs. Dhiego Lima
Betting Odds: Jingliang (+170), Lima (-200)
Prediction: Jingliang by decision
Bantamweights: Ning Guangyou vs. Royston Wee
Betting Odds: Guangyou (+105), Wee (-125)
Prediction: Wee by decision
PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC FIGHT PASS- 7 AM ET/4 AM PT)
Flyweights: Roldan Sangcha-an vs. Jon Delos Reyes
Betting Odds: Sangcha-an (+160), Reyes (-185)
Prediction: Reyes by submission in round 2
Flyweights: Nolan Ticman vs. Yao Zhikui
Betting Odds: Ticman (-225), Zhikui (+185)
Prediction: Ticman by decision