A new poll shows former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE with a commanding lead over the field of Democratic contenders in the first-in-the-nation caucus state of Iowa.
The survey from Monmouth University finds Biden with the support of 27 percent of respondents, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I) at 16 percent.
No other candidate pulls double-digit support, but South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE continues his impressive rise in the polls with a third-place showing, drawing the support of 9 percent of those surveyed.
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Rounding out the field are Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) and Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.) at 7 percent, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) at 6 percent, Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.) at 4 percent and Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants Black lawmakers unveil bill to remove Confederate statues from Capitol Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-N.J.) at 3 percent.
The survey finds Biden mopping up among older people and working-class voters.
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Biden has support from 44 percent of those respondents over the age of 65. He has Thirty-eight percent of those surveyed who are earning less than $50,000 per year support him, as do 34 percent of respondents without a college degree.
“If Biden does get into this race, he’ll start out as a clear front-runner in Iowa,” said Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “Not only does he garner support from crucial demographic groups but he is almost universally well-liked among all Democratic voters.”
Biden is expected to launch his presidential campaign sometime after Easter.
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The controversy that exploded after several women accused him of inappropriate touching at public events does not appear to have tarnished his image among Democratic voters.
Seventy-eight percent of Iowa Democrats have a favorable view of Biden, compared to only 14 percent who view him unfavorably. That’s the best net favorability rating in the field.
Sanders is at 67 percent favorable and 26 percent unfavorable. Buttigieg posts a 45 percent to 9 percent favorable-unfavorable split.
“Buttigieg’s current standing in the horse race is impressive given that nearly half of likely Democratic caucus-goers have yet to form an opinion of him,” Murray said. “He has one of the best positive to negative ratios in the field. He could move up if he is able to maintain that rating as he introduces himself to more voters. Klobuchar is another candidate with potential to increase her support as she becomes better known, based on her current ratings ratio.”
At 51 percent, health care is far and away the top issue for Iowa Democrats, with climate change a distant second at 17 percent.
“Here’s one example of why this race is very open despite the possibility of having a nominal front-runner if Biden gets in,” Murray said. “Health care and the environment are clearly the top issues in this race, but it doesn’t look like any candidate owns a clear advantage on them. And there are a bunch of other issues that candidates may be able to leverage into voter support over the next few months.”
The Monmouth University survey of 351 likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa was conducted between April 4 and April 9 and has a 5.2 percentage point margin of error.