Track good 4 and rail true so should play on-pace early before levelling out.
RACE 1 – 12.35PM: EGROUP PROTECTIVE SERVICES MAIDEN PLATE (1500m)
Pace and tactics will be vital in the opener, although Randwick filly 8. Smart Decision looks tough to beat. Had two improving runs back from a spell, but ideally suited up in trip third-up with the blinkers on.
Dangers: Randwick 3YO gelding 2. Disco Mo (accepted for Warwick Farm on Wednesday) found the class a little rich in town before overwhelmed when leading in a good quality maiden at Scone over the carnival. Newcastle filly 6. Autumn Rain hasn't been suited by the tempo in last couple and needs a decent speed on to chase. Has the ability, but inside draw against her best pattern. Wyong colt 3. Gunzel is fit enough second-up after a modest debut over the mile at Taree when backed at a big price; while Newcastle 4YO gelding 1. Another Sonette is hard fit after four runs this prep, but still looking to break the duck at 14th start.
How to play it: First 4: 8/2-6/1-2-3-6.
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RACE 2 – 1.10PM: EGROUP EVENTS AUSTRALIA CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1500m)
Rosehill 3YO gelding 1. Rexx bolted in his maiden from the front at Gosford, but found the pressure too much stepping up in grade at Warwick Farm. Draws nicely, and better ridden with a sit.
Dangers: Randwick mare 5. One Fire Beach improved nicely second up at big odds, and should be ready to peak. Randwick colt 2. Saving has found the line okay in his last two, and extra trip an advantage third-up; while Muswellbrook 3YO gelding 7. Asudem is screaming for this longer trip after hitting the line hard in his last couple at Taree, and while this is tougher, drops in weight and was scratched from Dubbo to be saved for this.
How to play it: Rexx to win.
RACE 3 – 1.50PM: EGROUP ELECTRONICS CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1860m)
Keen on lightly-raced Rosehill filly 4. Our Fun getting to this trip third-up. Resumed with a dominant maiden win at Kembla before solid to the line over the mile at Wyong. Track and distance look ideal being by former Group 1 staying star Dundeel.
Dangers: Rosehill mare 2. Frascati Miss is another strong finisher who will drift back and look to find a tail to take her home. Hit the line hard resuming in a good BM 64 at Kembla, and extra journey ideal.
How to play it: Our Fun to win and quinella 2 and 4.
Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1300m):
Looks a nice race for Randwick 4YO gelding 1. This Is So who got home nicely on debut at Kembla behind a smart youngster who won again in dominant fashion at Nowra on Sunday. Any extra ground is a plus being by So You Think out of a Dehere mare.
Dangers: Resuming Rosehill filly 7. Exoplanet took on smart maiden metro company in a brief first prep, and has trialled okay.
How to play it: This Is So to win.
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Race 5 MAIDEN PLATE (900m):
No loafing over the short course, and supremely bred 2YO Randwick gelding 7. Enforcement looks a good thing off two dominant winning trials. Jumped a $4.80 favourite on debut at Randwick when well beaten behind high class sprinters Accession and Strasbourg. The one to beat.
Dangers: Doubt there are any but watch the debut of 3YO Goulburn gelding 1. Full Of Fire who has trialled okay.
How to play it: Enforcement to win.
RACE 6 – 3.40PM: EGROUP SECURITY CLASS 2 HANDICAP (900m)
Another short-course affair that is much tricker to assess. Settled on Warwick Farm filly 9. Vinci Lady first-up off two nice trials and well in at the weights. Will go forward from a wider alley, and be hard to match fresh over this trip.
Dangers: Plenty of them headed by four-year-old Muswellbrook gelding 6. Bullseye Score which won three back in a BM58 at Inverell before fighting on OK in a much stronger Highway at Hawkesbury behind a smart galloper. Back in trip and down in weight, will give a big sight for a long way. Smart Port Macquarie mare 1. Maid Marilyn resumes with a crucial 3kg claim. Was good early in her last prep, and while this is obviously short of her best, draws to get a lovely run midfield and finish hard. Another Port Macquarie visitor 2. Tikkitala also resumes with a 3kg apprentice claim. Drawn the fence, and generally shows up fresh. Randwick filly 8. Starry was solid through the line resuming at Kembla and looks very well in at the weights for leading metro stable but draws the widest barrier.
How to play it: Vinci Lady each way and first four 1-6-9/1-2-6-8-9.
RACE 7 – 4.20PM: CONCIERGE ONE CONDITIONAL BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP (1400m)
Open battle to finish, although this looks bang on for promising three-year-old local gelding 4. Time Raid if he gets any sort of cover early from a tricky gate, with the blinkers going on. Just missed in a good BM64 two back at Gosford, and then finished strongly again over the mile at Warwick Farm behind Fun Fact which has since won the group 3 Grand Prix at Eagle Farm.
Dangers: Stablemate four-year-old mare 5. High Rush flopped last start at Wyong after a strong closing win two runs back. Can be hard to catch, but plenty of ability on her day. Improving Taree five-year-old gelding 3. Subtle Grey won stylishly two back in a BM66 at Grafton before overrun late under a big weight this track. Gets in here with lightest weight for some time after rider’s 3kg claim, and will take up a forward position from the draw. Stablemate five-year-old gelding 2. Sniponet is honest and will be right there from the good gate, just struggles to see out a strong 1400m. Five-year-old Scone gelding 6. Barricade flew home late at massive odds to land the Country Cup on home track and hard fit now after four runs this prep. Can plot a similar course on a track that also suits.
How to play it: Time Raid to win.
BEST BETS:
R3 4. OUR FUN
R7 4. TIME RAID
BEST VALUE:
R6 9. VINCI LADY
Supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays at www.racingnsw.com.au